The 1-1 Indianapolis Colts will attempt to match their win total for all of last season when it hosts the 0-2 Jacksonville Jaguars as 3-point home favorites Sunday. The over/under in this AFC South showdown is listed from between 41.5 and 42.5 points at most sportsbooks.
The Colts have earned immediate dividends from major changes made during the offseason that included replacing their general manager, head coach and starting quarterback. Andrew Luck, the No. 1 overall pick in this year’s NFL Draft, has had a solid start to his career after taking over for future Hall of Famer and Colts’ legend Peyton Manning. Luck is completing 56.5 percent of his passes with three touchdowns and three interceptions through two games. His 75.2 passer rating is a bit low, but it’s worth noting it is better than that of perennial Pro Bowlers Drew Brees and Michael Vick to this point in this season.
Another pleasant surprise for the Colts has been its ability to stop the run. After ranking 29th against the run a season ago, the Colts are allowing 104.5 yards a game rushing to rank a respectable 14th in the league. Also keep in mind the Colts put up those numbers while facing two of the best running backs in the league in Matt Forte and Adrian Peterson.
Both the Colts and the Jaguars will be dealing with several injuries, most notably along the offensive lines. The Jags’ could be without two starting offensive lineman in Eben Britton and Cam Bradfield. For the Colts, their offensive line could be down three starters. Right tackle Winston Justice, left guard Joe Reitz and center Samson Satele have all been limited in practice time this week and are questionable.
Jags’ quarterback Blaine Gabbert, who suffered a glute injury in Week Two, is also listed as questionable but word is the second-year signal-caller will get the start against the Colts. Indianapolis is also likely to be without starting defensive end Dwight Freeney because of an ankle injury.
Jaguars are not the best team in the NFL this season and the Colts’ enter this with plenty of momentum on their side. Given how well home teams have done against the NFL odds this season the bet here is lay the three points and take the Colts.