The Indianapolis Colts have only gone 1-2 SU and 1-2 ATS this year for NFL picks, and contrary to the belief that most probably would have had at the outset of the year, those problems have absolutely nothing to do with rookie QB Andrew Luck.
Sure, Luck has taken his lumps this year. He has missed some throws that a more experience quarterback would probably have made, and he has been picked off four times as well. However, Indy has put 20.3 points and 357.0 yards per game up on the board, and Luck has a respectable 846 passing yards to go with 80 more on the ground.
Instead, the real questions are being asked of this defense. The Colts knew that they were going to have problems on this side of the ball this year, and the truth of the matter is that Head Coach Chuck Pagano really can’t be that upset with the fact that the unit ranks 20th in the league at 362.7 yards per game allowed. What has to be concerning though, is the timing of which a lot of those yards and points are being conceded.
Two weeks ago versus the Minnesota Vikings, Indy held a 20-6 lead midway through the fourth quarter before the defense allowed QB Christian Ponder to march down the field twice on touchdown drives to tie the game. Last week, after Luck appeared to put together the game winning drive, the defense allowed an 80-yard touchdown pass from QB Blaine Gabbert to WR Cecil Shorts on what proved to ultimately be the deciding score in favor of the Jacksonville Jaguars.
The Colts know that there are some vicious games still to play on this schedule. Right off the bye week, the Green Bay Packers and their high octane offense are coming to town, and the likes of the Detroit Lions, New England Patriots, and Houston Texans (twice) are still on the slate. It’s not Luck that the Colts need to worry about. It’s their defense.